FC Wil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LAU
0 - 0
WIL
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 0
WOH
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCG
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2008 |
THU
2 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 6
WIL
19%
23%
59%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 0
FCG
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
THU
4 - 4
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 0
LAC
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
SER
1 - 4
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
BEL
4 - 1
LUG
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -2 |