FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
5º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
STA
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
SHK
35%
24%
42%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THU
3 - 1
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCV
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
41%
24%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIN
39%
23%
38%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |