Challenge League Round 9

FC Wil vs Aarau analysis

FC Wil Aarau
64 ELO 67
-0.2% Tilt 22.1%
1219º General ELO ranking 760º
18º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
34.1%
FC Wil
24.9%
Draw
40.9%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.9%
Win probability
Aarau
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Wil
+7%
+10%
Aarau

Points and table prediction

FC Wil
Their league position
Aarau
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
43
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Wil
Aarau
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Wil
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2023
STA
Stade Nyonnais
2 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
34%
24%
42%
66 61 5 0
22 Sep. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
53%
24%
23%
65 59 6 +1
15 Sep. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
34%
24%
42%
65 70 5 0
09 Sep. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 3
KF Shkëndija
SHK
35%
24%
42%
65 69 4 0
02 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
43%
25%
32%
66 67 1 -1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2023
FCA
Aarau
3 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
38%
24%
38%
66 66 0 0
22 Sep. 2023
THU
Thun
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
41%
24%
34%
66 67 1 0
17 Sep. 2023
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Winterthur
WIN
39%
23%
38%
67 69 2 -1
01 Sep. 2023
FCA
Aarau
0 - 2
Stade Nyonnais
STA
60%
22%
18%
68 61 7 -1
25 Aug. 2023
SCH
Schaffhausen
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
25%
24%
51%
68 62 6 0