FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 2
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
4 - 0
KRI
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
3 - 3
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
NEX
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
YVE
3 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 0
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 0
YVE
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 1
LAU
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 2
THU
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |