Challenge League Round 12

FC Wil vs Aarau analysis

FC Wil Aarau
63 ELO 64
-8.6% Tilt 3.3%
1219º General ELO ranking 761º
18º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
27.3%
FC Wil
24.7%
Draw
48.1%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.1%
Win probability
Aarau
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Wil
+10%
+10%
Aarau

ELO progression

FC Wil
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 - 3
FC Wil
WIL
48%
26%
26%
60 63 3 0
05 Oct. 2019
GCZ
Grasshopper
3 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
56%
24%
20%
62 69 7 -2
29 Sep. 2019
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 2
Lausanne Sports
LAU
15%
22%
63%
61 73 12 +1
25 Sep. 2019
WIL
FC Wil
4 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
34%
26%
40%
59 61 2 +2
21 Sep. 2019
WIN
Winterthur
0 - 3
FC Wil
WIL
58%
24%
19%
58 64 6 +1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2019
FCA
Aarau
1 - 3
Lausanne Sports
LAU
32%
25%
43%
66 72 6 0
05 Oct. 2019
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 3
Aarau
FCA
25%
23%
52%
66 58 8 0
29 Sep. 2019
FCV
FC Vaduz
5 - 2
Aarau
FCA
26%
24%
50%
66 60 6 0
24 Sep. 2019
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
54%
22%
24%
67 63 4 -1
21 Sep. 2019
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
66%
19%
14%
66 57 9 +1