FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCV
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 2
WIL
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 0
WIN
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
WOH
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
RAP
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 0
FCA
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 2
WOH
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SER
4 - 0
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |