Wil II vs Sirnach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FRE
5 - 2
WIL
63%
18%
20%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
MAR
68%
17%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SEE
1 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 3
KRE
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
WID
47%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 4
TUG
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
KRE
1 - 1
SIR
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 2
MEL
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
RUT
4 - 0
SIR
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 1
LIN
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |