League One Round 39

Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley analysis

Wigan Athletic Barnsley
67 ELO 68
-14.8% Tilt -9.6%
1699º General ELO ranking 1648º
55º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Wigan Athletic
27%
Draw
39.3%
Barnsley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
Wigan Athletic
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.3%
Win probability
Barnsley
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wigan Athletic
+6%
+12%
Barnsley

Points and table prediction

Wigan Athletic
Their league position
Barnsley
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
12º
21º
15º
61
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
111
111
100%
Wrexham AFC
92
92
100%
Stockport County
87
87
100%
Charlton Athletic
85
85
100%
Wycombe Wanderers
84
84
100%
Leyton Orient
78
78
100%
Reading
75
75
100%
Bolton Wanderers
68
68
100%
Blackpool
67
67
100%
Huddersfield Town
10º
64
64
10º
100%
Lincoln City
11º
61
61
11º
100%
Barnsley
12º
61
61
12º
100%
Rotherham United
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Stevenage
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Wigan Athletic
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Exeter City
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Mansfield Town
17º
54
54
17º
100%
Peterborough United
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Northampton
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Burton Albion
20º
47
47
20º
100%
Crawley Town
21º
46
46
21º
100%
Bristol Rovers
22º
43
43
22º
100%
Cambridge United
23º
38
38
23º
100%
Shrewsbury Town
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wigan Athletic
Barnsley
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wigan Athletic
Barnsley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wigan Athletic
Wigan Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
CHA
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Wigan Athletic
WIG
50%
26%
24%
67 70 3 0
08 Mar. 2025
WIG
Wigan Athletic
1 - 0
Cambridge United
CAM
53%
26%
22%
67 58 9 0
04 Mar. 2025
MAN
Mansfield Town
0 - 0
Wigan Athletic
WIG
38%
27%
35%
66 63 3 +1
01 Mar. 2025
WIG
Wigan Athletic
1 - 2
Reading
REA
36%
27%
37%
67 68 1 -1
25 Feb. 2025
WIG
Wigan Athletic
2 - 1
Huddersfield Town
HUR
30%
27%
43%
67 70 3 0

Matches

Barnsley
Barnsley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2025
BAR
Barnsley
1 - 1
Cambridge United
CAM
67%
20%
13%
68 57 11 0
15 Mar. 2025
MAN
Mansfield Town
2 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
28%
25%
47%
68 62 6 0
08 Mar. 2025
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 3
Blackpool
BPO
44%
26%
30%
69 71 2 -1
04 Mar. 2025
CHA
Charlton Athletic
1 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
40%
26%
34%
69 69 0 0
01 Mar. 2025
BAR
Barnsley
4 - 3
Lincoln City
LIN
52%
25%
23%
69 67 2 0