Austrian Bundesliga Round 12

Wiener Neustadt vs Sturm Graz analysis

Wiener Neustadt Sturm Graz
73 ELO 82
1.5% Tilt 1.6%
5418º General ELO ranking 560º
81º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.5%
Wiener Neustadt
24.1%
Draw
42.3%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
Wiener Neustadt
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.3%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wiener Neustadt
-12%
+9%
Sturm Graz

ELO progression

Wiener Neustadt
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wiener Neustadt
Wiener Neustadt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2009
AUK
Austria Karnten
0 - 0
Wiener Neustadt
WIE
39%
28%
33%
72 69 3 0
04 Oct. 2009
WIE
Wiener Neustadt
0 - 4
Rapid Wien
RAP
32%
24%
44%
72 82 10 0
26 Sep. 2009
RAP
Rapid Wien
3 - 1
Wiener Neustadt
WIE
79%
13%
8%
73 82 9 -1
22 Sep. 2009
WIE
Wiener Neustadt
3 - 0
Mattersburg
MAT
45%
27%
28%
72 75 3 +1
18 Sep. 2009
SVP
SV Pasching
2 - 2
Wiener Neustadt
WIE
41%
24%
35%
72 67 5 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2009
PAN
Panathinaikos
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
52%
24%
24%
82 82 0 0
18 Oct. 2009
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Rapid Wien
RAP
44%
26%
31%
82 82 0 0
04 Oct. 2009
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 0
Kapfenberger SV
KAP
59%
22%
19%
82 67 15 0
01 Oct. 2009
GAL
Galatasaray SK
1 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
64%
20%
16%
81 86 5 +1
26 Sep. 2009
KAP
Kapfenberger SV
0 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
26%
25%
50%
81 67 14 0