Regionalliga West Round 4

Wiedenbrück vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis

Wiedenbrück Rot Weiss Ahlen
50 ELO 42
-11.3% Tilt -3.1%
3937º General ELO ranking 5775º
176º Country ELO ranking 291º
ELO win probability
53%
Wiedenbrück
23.9%
Draw
23.1%
Rot Weiss Ahlen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
Wiedenbrück
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.1%
Win probability
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wiedenbrück
+21%
-40%
Rot Weiss Ahlen

Points and table prediction

Wiedenbrück
Their league position
Rot Weiss Ahlen
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
16º
12º
29
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Preußen Münster
76
79
100%
B. Mönchengladbach II
65
66
74.5%
Wuppertaler SV
63
64
74.5%
Rödinghausen
58
58
100%
Fortuna Köln
54
55
60.5%
Alemannia Aachen
53
54
37%
Kaan-Marienborn
52
53
28%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
50
51
42%
Schalke 04 II
48
49
90%
Düren
11º
45
48
10º
72.5%
Lippstadt 08
10º
46
46
11º
72.5%
Wiedenbrück
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Köln II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
14º
40
40
14º
100%
FC Bocholt
15º
36
37
15º
100%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Wattenscheid 09
17º
22
22
17º
100%
SV Straelen
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wiedenbrück
Rot Weiss Ahlen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wiedenbrück
Rot Weiss Ahlen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wiedenbrück
Wiedenbrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
2 - 2
Wiedenbrück
WIE
56%
23%
20%
49 53 4 0
31 Jul. 2022
WIE
Wiedenbrück
0 - 1
Preußen Münster
PRE
20%
24%
56%
50 61 11 -1
23 Jul. 2022
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1 - 2
Wiedenbrück
WIE
32%
25%
43%
49 41 8 +1
16 Jul. 2022
WIE
Wiedenbrück
3 - 0
Gutersloh
GUT
69%
20%
11%
49 33 16 0
13 Jul. 2022
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
1 - 0
Wiedenbrück
WIE
24%
24%
52%
50 39 11 -1

Matches

Rot Weiss Ahlen
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
8 - 0
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
57%
22%
21%
42 38 4 0
30 Jul. 2022
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
22%
24%
54%
42 53 11 0
23 Jul. 2022
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
1 - 2
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
76%
16%
9%
41 54 13 +1
16 Jul. 2022
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
3 - 4
BW Lohne
BWL
39%
25%
36%
41 44 3 0
13 Jul. 2022
MEP
SV Meppen
2 - 1
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
78%
14%
7%
41 59 18 0