Widnes vs AFC Emley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 1
WID
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WID
5 - 1
HED
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 0
WID
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WID
2 - 1
TRA
46%
24%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
WID
2 - 0
BOO
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 5
AFC
26%
21%
53%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
AFC
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
HAL
54%
21%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ECC
0 - 2
AFC
18%
19%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |