Widnau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
ACM
3 - 1
ZUR
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 7
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
3 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 1
ZUR
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
25%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |