Widnau vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
3º
33
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
UST
2 - 2
WID
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WID
0 - 1
SVS
51%
20%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 4
WID
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WID
3 - 2
LAC
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 0
WID
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UST
0 - 2
WIL
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 2
SVS
45%
20%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 4
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
8 - 4
LAC
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |