Widnau vs Tägerwilen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
26
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 1
WID
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WID
3 - 4
CHU
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 2
WID
31%
21%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WID
3 - 1
FCA
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WID
2 - 0
UST
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tägerwilen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TAG
2 - 1
LAC
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAZ
2 - 3
TAG
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TAG
4 - 1
FCR
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
TAG
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TAG
1 - 3
WIL
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |