Widnau vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SEE
4 - 0
WID
66%
19%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WID
4 - 2
WIL
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KRE
4 - 2
WID
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UST
1 - 0
WID
39%
22%
40%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
WID
3 - 6
UZW
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
UST
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
UZW
3 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
GOS
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
SIR
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
MEL
28%
20%
52%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |