Whitehawk vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whitehawk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WEA
1 - 1
WHI
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 0
HEN
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ENF
1 - 3
WHI
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 2
WHI
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WHI
1 - 3
LOW
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
WIN
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 0
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
LEW
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +4 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
THU
0 - 3
BUR
25%
23%
53%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 1
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |