WHC vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
GOA
2 - 0
WHC
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 2
HAR
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NUN
2 - 2
WHC
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 1
BEQ
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
WHC
0 - 1
BER
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 0
ONS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BEQ
2 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 2
PKC
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 3
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 1
EXC
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |