Whanganui Athletic vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
80.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
10º
10º
28
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whanganui Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
WAF
94%
5%
2%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 3
STO
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 3
WAF
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 7
WEL
3%
7%
91%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 1
WAF
95%
4%
1%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 1
WKA
41%
21%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
WSU
69%
15%
15%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
0 - 1
PET
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 3
NAP
47%
20%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
34%
21%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |