Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 1-2
West Ham vs FC Astra Giurgiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WHU
1 - 0
BOU
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
WHU
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CHL
2 - 1
WHU
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 3
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
WHU
3 - 0
DOM
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Astra Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CLU
5 - 1
AST
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
WHU
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AST
3 - 1
PTI
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
CSU
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
FCK
3 - 0
AST
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |