West Auckland Town vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Auckland Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 3
WES
15%
19%
67%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
WES
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
WES
0 - 1
BIS
88%
8%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
WHI
1 - 2
WES
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WES
1 - 1
GUI
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
SRC
0 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
CON
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
5 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
WHI
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 3
BIL
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |