West Armenia vs Ararat-Armenia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
10º
1º
55
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
7 - 1
MIK
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 1
WAR
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 0
BKM
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SYU
1 - 2
WAR
20%
21%
60%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 0
ALA
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHI
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MIK
2 - 1
ARA
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 1
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GAN
3 - 0
ARA
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
PYU
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |