Bundesliga Round 1

Werder Bremen vs Schalke 04 analysis

Werder Bremen Schalke 04
89 ELO 87
16.2% Tilt 12.3%
68º General ELO ranking 441º
12º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
61%
Werder Bremen
20.6%
Draw
18.4%
Schalke 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.4%
Win probability
Schalke 04
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Werder Bremen
+7%
-1%
Schalke 04

ELO progression

Werder Bremen
Schalke 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2004
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
56%
23%
21%
89 91 2 0
29 Jul. 2004
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
59%
22%
19%
88 88 0 +1
29 May. 2004
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 2
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
76%
15%
9%
88 72 16 0
22 May. 2004
ROS
Hansa Rostock
3 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
23%
25%
52%
89 81 8 -1
15 May. 2004
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 6
B. Leverkusen
LEV
60%
21%
20%
89 87 2 0

Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2004
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 0
Esbjerg
ESB
54%
24%
22%
87 80 7 0
28 Jul. 2004
ESB
Esbjerg
1 - 3
Schalke 04
S04
42%
26%
33%
86 81 5 +1
24 Jul. 2004
VAR
FK Vardar
1 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
26%
24%
50%
86 70 16 0
17 Jul. 2004
S04
Schalke 04
5 - 0
FK Vardar
VAR
71%
19%
10%
86 71 15 0
22 May. 2004
WOL
Wolfsburg
1 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
41%
25%
34%
86 83 3 0