Werder Bremen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 3
BYM
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
UNT
1 - 0
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 3
LEV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
HSV
0 - 0
BRE
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
EIN
1 - 0
BRE
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2000 |
MSV
0 - 3
ARB
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ROS
3 - 1
MSV
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
MSV
2 - 2
BVB
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
MUN
4 - 1
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 2
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |