Werder Bremen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
KOL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
M05
1 - 3
BRE
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
BYM
11%
18%
71%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
RBL
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HAN
1 - 0
BRE
36%
24%
41%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
BVB
7 - 1
PAD
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BVB
5 - 1
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FKQ
1 - 3
BVB
10%
17%
73%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
M05
0 - 2
BVB
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BYM
5 - 1
BVB
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | -1 |