Werder Bremen Sub 17 vs Erzgebirge Aue Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.1%
Win probability
4.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.8%
7-0
4.2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.5%
6-0
6.9%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.4%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
14%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
4.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.1%
1.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
9º
4º
6
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 6 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 4 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SVM
1 - 1
WBS
4%
9%
87%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WBS
2 - 2
HSV
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FUB
1 - 5
WBS
27%
21%
53%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WBS
1 - 1
STP
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HBS
6 - 0
WBS
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 4
RBL
5%
10%
85%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WFS
1 - 0
FCE
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 3
NDF
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 0
FCE
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 0
CZJ
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |