Werder Bremen III vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VAT
0 - 10
WER
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WER
3 - 0
HAB
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
WER
17%
17%
66%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WER
0 - 1
BRE
11%
14%
75%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEH
3 - 2
WER
7%
12%
82%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SGA
4 - 4
SCH
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
OSC
0 - 5
SGA
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SGA
4 - 0
GRO
82%
12%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
SGA
11%
17%
72%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SGA
0 - 2
BRI
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -3 |