Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 25

Welwyn Garden City vs North Leigh analysis

Welwyn Garden City North Leigh
29 ELO 38
7.9% Tilt 2.3%
8411º General ELO ranking 8790º
437º Country ELO ranking 470º
ELO win probability
33.1%
Welwyn Garden City
22.1%
Draw
44.8%
North Leigh

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
Welwyn Garden City
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.8%
Win probability
North Leigh
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Welwyn Garden City
-2%
-54%
North Leigh

Points and table prediction

Welwyn Garden City
Their league position
North Leigh
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
17º
43
15º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
72
72
100%
Bedford Town
69
69
100%
Ware
62
62
100%
Waltham Abbey
61
61
0%
AFC Dunstable
61
61
0%
Cirencester Town
57
57
100%
Stotfold FC
55
55
100%
Hadley
52
55
72%
Welwyn Garden City
54
54
72%
Biggleswade
10º
48
48
10º
0%
Kings Langley
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Barton Rovers
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Kidlington
13º
44
44
13º
87.5%
Hertford Town
14º
44
44
14º
0%
Aylesbury United
15º
43
43
15º
0%
North Leigh
16º
43
43
16º
0%
Leighton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Thame United FC
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Welwyn Garden City
North Leigh
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Welwyn Garden City
North Leigh
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Welwyn Garden City
Welwyn Garden City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
3 - 4
Thame United FC
THA
75%
15%
10%
32 21 11 0
27 Dec. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 4
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
63%
19%
18%
30 36 6 +2
23 Dec. 2023
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
5 - 4
Ware
WAR
36%
22%
41%
30 33 3 0
16 Dec. 2023
AYL
Aylesbury United
3 - 2
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
23%
22%
55%
31 22 9 -1
02 Dec. 2023
KIN
Kings Langley
2 - 3
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
45%
23%
32%
31 31 0 0

Matches

North Leigh
North Leigh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
LEI
Leighton Town
1 - 2
North Leigh
NOR
56%
22%
22%
36 42 6 0
06 Jan. 2024
BAR
Barton Rovers
1 - 1
North Leigh
NOR
15%
19%
66%
37 23 14 -1
01 Jan. 2024
NOR
North Leigh
3 - 0
Kidlington
KID
73%
16%
11%
37 27 10 0
26 Dec. 2023
CIR
Cirencester Town
3 - 0
North Leigh
NOR
36%
22%
43%
39 34 5 -2
23 Dec. 2023
NOR
North Leigh
3 - 0
AFC Dunstable
AFD
72%
16%
12%
38 31 7 +1
X