Wels vs Gmunden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
DON
0 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
WEL
4 - 1
OED
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +5 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 2
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
WEL
4 - 0
BAD
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
WEL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Gmunden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
GMU
3 - 0
SSM
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
GMU
2 - 2
VOC
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
DON
0 - 1
GMU
76%
15%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
GMU
0 - 2
OED
12%
17%
72%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
GMU
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |