Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
10º
6º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
WPH
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 1
WPH
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 3
MCI
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
WPH
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 1
ADE
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
CCM
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 0
ADE
43%
24%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 1
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |