Welling United vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 1
WEL
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
WEA
1 - 0
WEL
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 2
WEL
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
WEL
3 - 1
STA
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 3
GLO
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 1
HAV
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
OXF
2 - 0
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
WHI
2 - 3
OXF
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 1
HEM
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
OXF
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |