Welling United vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 3
HEM
22%
21%
56%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 1
WEL
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CON
0 - 5
WEL
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
CHM
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
WEL
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POO
1 - 1
EAS
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 2
MAI
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
OXF
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 0
EBB
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |