Welling United vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
WEL
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 0
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HYD
0 - 1
WEL
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
5 - 2
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 2
WEL
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
SAL
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAC
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 3
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIN
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |