Welling United vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
GUL
2 - 0
WEL
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
WRE
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 0
WEL
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 1
ALT
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
WEL
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GAT
3 - 2
ALD
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ALD
0 - 0
TRA
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ALD
1 - 0
KID
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ALD
3 - 1
CHE
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |