Wellin vs Bastogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
WEL
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
3 - 4
BOM
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ROS
1 - 4
WEL
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OPP
2 - 0
WEL
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
WEL
0 - 0
GOU
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GOU
4 - 1
BAS
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
OPP
13%
19%
69%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 0
BAS
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 4
VAU
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |