Tartu Welco vs Viimsi JK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
5º
3º
56
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 85 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 77 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 69 |
3º
|
82% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 61 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
71.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 79% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
WEL
1 - 0
LEV
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
3 - 3
WEL
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 1
WEL
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
WEL
3 - 1
FCT
57%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCE
3 - 1
WEL
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
VJK
1 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
TKA
0 - 4
VJK
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
VJK
3 - 1
FCT
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
VJK
5 - 0
NOM
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 0
VJK
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |