3. Liga Round 1

Wehen Wiesbaden vs SSV Ulm analysis

Wehen Wiesbaden SSV Ulm
79 ELO 79
5.6% Tilt 16.3%
877º General ELO ranking 720º
45º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Wehen Wiesbaden
26.3%
Draw
31.2%
SSV Ulm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
Wehen Wiesbaden
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.2%
Win probability
SSV Ulm
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wehen Wiesbaden
+2%
-5%
SSV Ulm

Points and table prediction

Wehen Wiesbaden
Their league position
SSV Ulm
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
10º
3
10º
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
1. FC Saarbrücken
12º
4
68
26%
Hoffenheim II
7
63
14%
Rot-Weiss Essen
5
62
9.5%
MSV Duisburg
9
62
8%
Wehen Wiesbaden
4
60
8.5%
1860 München
7
60
7%
Verl
14º
3
59
6%
Energie Cottbus
11º
4
57
4%
Ingolstadt 04
17º
2
55
7.5%
Hansa Rostock
5
55
10º
7%
Viktoria Köln
15º
3
54
11º
7.5%
SSV Ulm
16º
3
51
12º
7%
VfL Osnabrück
4
49
13º
2%
Waldhof Mannheim
4
48
14º
7%
Erzgebirge Aue
10º
4
46
15º
9.5%
Jahn Regensburg
13º
4
46
16º
6%
Stuttgart II
4
42
17º
10%
Havelse
18º
2
41
18º
9%
Alemannia Aachen
19º
1
36
19º
13%
Schweinfurt
20º
0
35
20º
30.5%
Expected probabilities
Wehen Wiesbaden
SSV Ulm
Promotion
16% 3.5%
Promotion play-offs
8.5% 1%
Mid-table
71% 78%
Relegation
4.5% 17.5%

ELO progression

Wehen Wiesbaden
SSV Ulm
Waldhof Mannheim
Alemannia Aachen
Schweinfurt
MSV Duisburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wehen Wiesbaden
Wehen Wiesbaden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
4 - 0
Vitesse
VIT
46%
23%
31%
78 76 2 0
20 Jul. 2025
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
0 - 1
TSV Steinbach Haiger
STE
62%
20%
18%
78 68 10 0
19 Jul. 2025
OFC
Kickers Offenbach
1 - 0
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
27%
22%
51%
78 70 8 0
12 Jul. 2025
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
3 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
35%
24%
41%
78 82 4 0
04 Jul. 2025
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
3 - 0
Hoffenheim II
HOF
45%
24%
32%
78 78 0 0

Matches

SSV Ulm
SSV Ulm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 1
SSV Ulm
ULM
65%
19%
16%
79 86 7 0
19 Jul. 2025
ULM
SSV Ulm
3 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
33%
25%
42%
79 84 5 0
02 Jul. 2025
ULM
SSV Ulm
1 - 2
Bayern München II
BAY
52%
23%
25%
79 71 8 0
28 Jun. 2025
VFR
VfR Aalen
3 - 4
SSV Ulm
ULM
12%
19%
69%
79 56 23 0
18 May. 2025
ULM
SSV Ulm
2 - 2
Preußen Münster
PRE
33%
26%
41%
79 80 1 0