Wealdstone vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WEA
2 - 4
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
WEA
0 - 1
MAI
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
WEA
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
WEA
3 - 3
ALD
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WEA
2 - 0
HAL
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 2
HUN
34%
23%
43%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HEN
2 - 3
TIV
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 3
AFT
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 2
HEN
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OLD
1 - 2
HEN
67%
18%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |