FA Trophy Last 16
Global 3-2
Wealdstone vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WEA
5 - 2
AVE
75%
16%
8%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 2
WEA
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
WEA
2 - 0
TOO
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LOW
2 - 1
WEA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
HEN
1 - 1
WEA
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WOK
1 - 0
DAR
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 2
WEA
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
6 - 0
THU
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
STA
1 - 4
DAR
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 3
DAR
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |