WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
VIC
3 - 2
WBC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
KAM
0 - 1
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
WBC
3 - 2
EXC
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
WBC
3 - 3
RHO
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 1
WBC
40%
25%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
KAM
1 - 3
TRA
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 3
INT
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
VIC
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 1
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
TRA
3 - 1
BOS
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |