Wattenscheid 09 vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+133%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
13º
18º
13º
64
2º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 72 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 65 |
4º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 59 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
53.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
84.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TUS
3 - 0
WAT
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGH
0 - 0
WAT
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
ASC
49%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 0
WAT
40%
21%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 3
SFB
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ERK
4 - 2
BGH
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
ERK
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ERK
3 - 1
SVR
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 3
ERK
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ERK
0 - 3
GIE
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |