Swarovski Tirol II vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 4
WAT
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KUF
2 - 0
WAT
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 2
KIT
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
5 - 1
KUN
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
4 - 3
IMS
9%
17%
73%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 2
KUF
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 2
KUN
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
IMS
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
WOR
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 0
TEL
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |