Swarovski Tirol II vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
12º
2º
22
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KIT
2 - 1
WAT
27%
22%
51%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 6
WAT
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WAT
6 - 0
EBB
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
FUG
2 - 3
WAT
28%
22%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 5
FCV
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
5 - 3
SCM
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WBO
4 - 2
SCM
45%
21%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 2
SCM
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
SCM
2 - 2
SPG
60%
18%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
IAC
4 - 3
SCM
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |