Wattenbach vs Bayern Alzenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wattenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FRA
4 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 1
FER
16%
22%
63%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 2
HES
9%
16%
76%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 2
WAL
14%
21%
65%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
GOR
5 - 0
WAT
76%
15%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
FVB
0 - 2
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
FSV
0 - 2
BAY
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 0
BUC
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 2
SGB
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 0
SWM
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |