Watford vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 0
WAT
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
WAT
0 - 3
LIV
18%
21%
61%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAT
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
WAT
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WAT
3 - 0
HUR
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
BOU
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
LYO
2 - 2
MAC
22%
23%
56%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
WHU
0 - 4
MAC
16%
21%
64%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
MUD
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
6 - 0
SHA
64%
19%
17%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |