Watford vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BHA
0 - 0
WAT
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TOT
2 - 1
WAT
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
WAT
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CRY
1 - 2
WAT
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 3
WOL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
HUR
0 - 1
EVE
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 2
EVE
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
EVE
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |