Watford vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 3
WAT
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
WAT
2 - 4
QPR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
WAT
2 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SHW
0 - 1
WAT
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 1
PLY
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
CRY
1 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
SHE
0 - 1
CRY
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
COV
0 - 2
CRY
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CRY
2 - 1
PLY
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CRY
2 - 1
SHW
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |