Watford vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
LEI
1 - 2
WAT
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1987 |
WAT
2 - 0
LUT
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 2
WAT
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
TOT
4 - 1
WAT
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
WAT
3 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
NOR
1 - 1
COV
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
COV
4 - 1
QPR
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
LUT
2 - 0
COV
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
COV
3 - 2
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
NTT
0 - 0
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |