Watford vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MID
2 - 2
WAT
35%
26%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 3
LEI
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
BHA
1 - 1
WAT
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 3
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 2
WAT
37%
26%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BOL
3 - 1
MIL
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 2
BOL
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
IPS
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
SHW
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 2
BOL
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |