Waterside Karori vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
9º
6º
29
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 1
WKA
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
MIR
46%
20%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 1
WKA
41%
21%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ROW
2 - 5
WKA
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
0 - 3
NAP
42%
21%
38%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
NWA
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
PET
58%
18%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
PET
25%
20%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PET
4 - 0
WEL
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +9 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
0 - 1
PET
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |