Waterside Karori vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
9º
6º
21
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 1
WKA
41%
21%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ROW
2 - 5
WKA
40%
21%
39%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
0 - 3
NAP
45%
21%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STO
1 - 4
WKA
25%
20%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 3
WKA
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
PET
81%
11%
8%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
WSU
70%
15%
15%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 3
NAP
67%
16%
18%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STO
4 - 2
MIR
10%
13%
77%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 5
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |