Waterside Karori vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
81.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.4%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 3
WSU
36%
21%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 0
WKA
92%
6%
2%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 0
WKA
49%
21%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
WEL
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PET
1 - 2
WKA
9%
14%
76%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 1
MIR
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 2
WEL
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PET
0 - 5
MIR
3%
10%
87%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 0
WUF
92%
6%
2%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |